Quarterly Review 2821

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Avoiding Significant Monetary Policy Mistakes

Preston J. Miller - Former Vice President and Monetary Adviser
Gary H. Stern - President, 1985-2009

Published December 1, 2004

Abstract
We deduce properties of optimal monetary policies based on modern theory and standard empirical findings. In light of this analysis, we examine FOMC policy procedures and conclude that they put too much emphasis on short-term economic stabilization and too little emphasis on longer-term price stability. We propose a form of inflation targeting to address this problem.


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