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Staff Reports

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Staff Report 95 (October 1984)

Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregressions Four Years of Experience
Robert B. Litterman
Replaced by Staff Report 274
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 94 (September 1984)

Output Variability in an Open-Economy Macro Model With Variance-Dependent Parameters
Warren E. Weber
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 93 (July 1986)

Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distributions
Thomas Doan, Robert B. Litterman, Christopher A. Sims
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 92 (March 1984)

Specifying Vector Autoregressions for Macroeconomic Forecasting
Robert B. Litterman
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 91 (March 1984)

Time Consistency of Optimal Plans: An Elementary Primer
Michael J. Stutzer
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 90 (Revised July 1984)

Correspondence Principles for Concave Orthogonal Games
Michael J. Stutzer
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 89 (May 1984)

Money, Real Interest Rates, and Output: A Reinterpretation of Postwar U.S. Data
Robert B. Litterman, Laurence M. Weiss
Published In: The new classical macroeconomics (Vol. 2, 1992, pp. 333-360)
Published In: Econometrica (Vol. 53, No. 1, January 1985, pp. 129-156)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 88 (August 1983)

Gresham's Law or Gresham's Fallacy
Arthur J. Rolnick, Warren E. Weber
Published In: Quarterly Review (Vol 10, Num 1, Winter 1986, pp. 17-24)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 87 (July 1985)

Financial Intermediary-Coalitions
John H. Boyd, Edward C. Prescott
Published In: Journal of Economic Theory (Vol 38, Num 2, April 1986, pp. 211-232)
Published In: Credit, intermediation, and the macroeconomy: Readings and perspectives in modern financial theory (2004, pp. 15-35)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 86 (June 1983)

Income Stability and Economic Efficiency Under Alternative Tax Schemes
Preston J. Miller
Published In: Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (Vol. 20, Spring 1984, pp. 121-141)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 85 (January 1983)

A Model of Commodity Money
Thomas J. Sargent, Neil Wallace
Published In: Journal of Monetary Economics (Vol. 12, No. 1, July 1983, pp. 163-187)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 84 (January 1983)

A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Distribution of Time Series
Robert B. Litterman
Published In: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (Vol. 1, No. 2, April 1983, pp. 169-173)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 83 (August 1982)

A Model of Circulating Private Debt
Robert Townsend, Neil Wallace
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 82 (February 1983)

Optimal Control of the Money Supply
Robert B. Litterman
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

Staff Report 81 (Revised November 1982)

A Test of the Intertemporal Asset Pricing Model
Rajnish Mehra, Edward C. Prescott
Published In: Journal of Monetary Economics (Vol. 15, 1985, pp. 145-161)
[Paper available on-line as PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file]

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