Economic Research
Economic ResearchTopic - Demographics
Job Matching Within and Across Firms
Elena Pastorino
June 2013 - Staff Report
Careers in Firms: Estimating a Model of Job Assignment, Learning, and Human Capital Acquisition
Elena Pastorino
June 2013 - Staff Report
Supplementary Appendix: Careers in Firms—Estimating a Model of Job Assignment, Learning, and Human Capital Acquisition
Elena Pastorino
June 2013 - Staff Report
Ninth District Insight Report - Quarter 4, 2012
April 2013 - Ninth District Insight
Women’s Emancipation through Education: A Macroeconomic Analysis
Fatih Guvenen, Michelle Rendall
April 2013 - Working Paper
Childhood poverty rate climbs past 20 percent in the U.S.
January 2013 - Community Dividend
Service providers retool and collaborate to address increase in suburban poverty
Suburban communities in the Minneapolis-St. Paul region now have nearly as many impoverished residents as the central cities, and local assistance organizations are modifying their approaches in respo
Jacob Wascalus
January 2013 - Community Dividend
Ninth District Insight Report - Quarter 2, 2012
Published by the Community Development Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
December 2012 - Ninth District Insight
The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk
Fatih Guvenen, Serdar Ozkan, Jae Song
December 2012 - Staff Report
Learning-by-Employing: The Value of Commitment Under Uncertainty
Elena Pastorino, Braz Camargo
November 2012 - Staff Report
Aggregate Labor Supply
Edward C. Prescott
October 2012 - Quarterly Review
"Agripreneur" program helps rural Latinos become small-scale farmers
An initiative of Minneapolis-based Main Street Project teaches budding farmers, or "agripreneurs," to raise and sell poultry and other agricultural products as part of an emerging local food network.
Jacob Wascalus
October 2012 - Community Dividend
Heterogeneity in Expected Longevities
José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Josep Pijoan-Mas
August 2012 - Staff Report
Consumption and Labor Supply with Partial Insurance: An Analytical Framework
Giovanni L. Violante, Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten
February 2012 - Staff Report
Modeling the Evolution of Age and Cohort Effects in Social Research
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, Yang Yang
September 2011 - Staff Report
Commerce, USDA release online mapping tools
July 2011 - Community Dividend
Delinquencies and foreclosures in rural areas: A snapshot of the recent performance of mortgages in Michigan's Upper Peninsula
An analysis of newly acquired mortgage data reveals that the Upper Peninsula fared better than other parts of Michigan during the recent foreclosure crisis.
Michael Grover
July 2011 - Community Dividend
Recent demographic data reveal effects of economic slowdown in Indian Country
New data from the U.S. Census Bureau confirm that economic trends on American Indian reservations in the Ninth District worsened or stagnated during the recent recession.
Michael Grover
July 2011 - Community Dividend
Interstate Migration Has Fallen Less Than You Think: Consequences of Hot Deck Imputation in the Current Population Survey
Greg Kaplan, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
June 2011 - Staff Report
Census Bureau revamps American FactFinder
April 2011 - Community Dividend
Hispanic entrepreneurship grows, but barriers persist
Despite recent progress, Hispanic-owned firms lag behind in some respects. Fortunately, federal and nonprofit agencies offer programs designed to help close the gap.
Michou Kokodoko
April 2011 - Community Dividend
Aggregate Labor Supply
Edward C. Prescott, Johanna Wallenius
January 2011 - Staff Report
Nonprofit credit counselors provide one-on-one help for consumers in crisis
In the aftermath of the recent economic meltdown, nonprofit consumer credit counseling agencies have seen unprecedented demand for their services.
Paula Woessner
January 2011 - Community Dividend
Interstate Migration Has Fallen Less Than You Think: Consequences of Hot Deck Imputation in the Current Population Survey
Greg Kaplan, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
November 2010 - Working Paper
Brookings launches two interactive data tools
October 2010 - Community Dividend
Inferring Labor Income Risk From Economic Choices: An Indirect Inference Approach
Fatih Guvenen, Anthony Smith
July 2010 - Staff Report
Moving Back Home: Insurance Against Labor Market Risk
Greg Kaplan
July 2010 - Staff Report
Human Capital Values and Returns: Bounds Implied By Earnings and Asset Returns Data
Mark Huggett, Greg Kaplan
July 2010 - Staff Report
Foreclosures on Non-Owner-Occupied Properties in Ohio’s Cuyahoga County: Evidence from Mortgages Originated in 2005–2006
An examination of home buying, borrowing, and mortgage default by non-occupant owners in Cuyahoga County, Ohio, using detailed neighborhood and demographic data.
Richard M. Todd
June 2010 - Community Development Papers
Horizons program mobilizes communities to address rural poverty
A leadership-development program designed for small, rural towns demonstrates how communities that become aware, engaged, and energized about poverty issues can make change happen.
Joyce Hoelting
April 2010 - Community Dividend
Minnesota's Earned Income Credit Program: Utilization by Current and Former Welfare Households and the Impact of Policy Parameters
An analysis of utilization of the State of Minnesota's earned income credit (the Working Family Credit) among current and former welfare recipients.
Donald P. Hirasuna, Thomas F. Stinson
December 2009 - Community Development Papers
Taxation of Human Capital and Wage Inequality: A Cross-Country Analysis
Fatih Guvenen, Burhanettin Kuruscu, Serdar Ozkan
November 2009 - Staff Report
Boomerang Kids: Labor Market Dynamics and Moving Back Home
Greg Kaplan
October 2009 - Working Paper
Unequal We Stand: An Empirical Analysis of Economic Inequality in the United States, 1967–2006
Fabrizio Perri, Giovanni L. Violante, Jonathan Heathcote
October 2009 - Staff Report
A Quantitative Analysis of the Evolution of the U.S. Wage Distribution: 1970–2000
Fatih Guvenen, Burhanettin Kuruscu
May 2009 - Staff Report
Joint-Search Theory: New Opportunities and New Frictions
Giovanni L. Violante, Fatih Guvenen, Bulent Guler
May 2009 - Staff Report
Homeownership gaps among Indian reservations prove puzzling
An analysis of some persistent gaps in homeownership rates among American Indian reservations in the Ninth Federal Reserve District.
Richard M. Todd, Federico Burlon
May 2009 - Community Dividend
A Theory of Outsourcing and Wage Decline
Thomas J. Holmes, Julia Thornton Snider
March 2009 - Working Paper
Mother and Child Reunion?
An intriguing look into why widows increasingly live alone
Douglas Clement
December 2008 - The Region
The Labor of a Renaissance Man
From Ríos’ extensive agenda, a promising glimpse at failure
December 2008 - The Region
Directo a Mexico helps customers join the financial system
The Directo a Mexico remittance service could have two major benefits: helping financial institutions in the U.S. compete more effectively in the money-transfer market, and increasing the number of Me
Michael Grover, Jimmy Nguyen
November 2008 - Community Dividend
Accounting for Regional Migration Patterns and Homeownership Disparities in the Hmong-American Refugee Community, 1980-2000
An analysis of Hmong homeownership rates in the U.S. over the previous two decades, with a focus on examining gaps in rates among the geographic areas where Hmong refugees are concentrated.
Richard M. Todd, Michael Grover
October 2008 - Community Development Papers
Changes in the Distribution of Family Hours Worked Since 1950
Ellen R. McGrattan, Richard Rogerson
April 2008 - Staff Report
Taxation, Aggregates and the Household
Gustavo Ventura, Nezih Guner, Remzi Kaygusuz
April 2008 - Working Paper
Lifetime Aggregate Labor Supply with Endogenous Workweek Length
Edward C. Prescott, Richard Rogerson, Johanna Wallenius
November 2007 - Staff Report
U.S. Census bureau releases Native population figures
November 2007 - Community Dividend
Targeting Foreclosure Interventions: An Analysis of Neighborhood Characteristics Associated with High Foreclosure Rates in Two Minnesota Counties
An analysis of neighborhood characteristics associated with high foreclosure rates in Hennepin and Ramsey counties, the two core counties in Minnesota's Twin Cities metropolitan area.
Richard M. Todd, Laura Smith, Michael Grover
June 2007 - Community Development Papers
HUD releases national report on homelessness
May 2007 - Community Dividend
University launches new Twin Cities mapping tool
March 2007 - Community Dividend
Nature or Nurture? Learning and Female Labor Force Dynamics
Alessandra Fogli, Laura Veldkamp
February 2007 - Staff Report
Update on Minnesota minority homeownership initiative
A summary of progress made by the State of Minnesota Emerging Markets Homeownership Initiative.
September 2006 - Community Dividend
Consumption Over the Life Cycle? How Different Is Housing?
Fang Yang
August 2006 - Working Paper
19 Ninth District counties rank among nation's poorest
May 2006 - Community Dividend
A Model of Job and Worker Flows
Ricardo Lagos, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
February 2006 - Staff Report
A Model of TFP
Ricardo Lagos
January 2006 - Staff Report
Geographic Spillover of Unionism
Thomas J. Holmes
January 2006 - Staff Report
Liquidity and Insurance for the Unemployed
Iván Werning, Robert Shimer
December 2005 - Staff Report
The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America's Economic Future
Book Review
Kevin L. Kliesen
June 2005 - The Region
Homeownership gap calls for broad, balanced response
In remarks delivered at the formal launch of the State of Minnesota Emerging Markets Homeownership Initiative on June 28, 2004, Richard M. Todd summarized some of the key facts about homeownership in
Richard M. Todd
May 2005 - Community Dividend
Housing data show gains, not parity, for some groups
An examination of home lending trends in Minneapolis-St. Paul during the 1997-2003 housing boom.
Michael Grover
May 2005 - Community Dividend
Culture: An Empirical Investigation of Beliefs, Work, and Fertility
Alessandra Fogli, Raquel Fernandez
April 2005 - Staff Report
Fertility and Social Security
Mariacristina De Nardi, Michele Boldrin, Larry E. Jones
March 2005 - Staff Report
The Macroeconomics of Child Labor Regulation
Fabrizio Zilibotti, Matthias Doepke
February 2005 - Staff Report
What Determines Productivity? Lessons From the Dramatic Recovery of the U.S. and Canadian Iron Ore Industries Following Their Early 1980s Crisis
James A. Schmitz, Jr.
February 2005 - Staff Report
The Evolution of U.S. Earnings Inequality: 1961–2002
Zvi Eckstein, Éva Nagypál
December 2004 - Quarterly Review
Census says poverty down, incomes up in North Dakota
November 2004 - Community Dividend
Sets and the city
Urban growth may seem chaotic, but order lies beneath.
Douglas Clement
September 2004 - The Region
Urban Legends
For centuries, economists have struggled to explain why people and businesses gather in cities.
Douglas Clement
September 2004 - The Region
Changes in Hours Worked, 1950–2000
Ellen R. McGrattan, Richard Rogerson
July 2004 - Quarterly Review
A better day in the neighborhood: The rise and decline of poverty concentration in the Twin Cities, 1970-2000
After increasing for two decades, the concentration of poverty in Minneapolis-St. Paul took a dramatic, unexpected plunge in the 1990s
Richard M. Todd
November 2003 - Community Dividend
Demographic trends reveal mixed portrait of Ninth District reservations
According to census data, Native American reservations did not benefit equally from the economic boom of the 1990s.
Michael Grover
November 2003 - Community Dividend
Non-Convexities in Quantitative General Equilibrium Studies of Business Cycles
Edward C. Prescott
November 2003 - Staff Report
A Theory of Factor Allocation and Plant Size
Thomas J. Holmes, Matthew F. Mitchell
October 2003 - Staff Report
Credit availability: A snapshot of the Hmong business community in Minneapolis and St. Paul
A Federal Reserve study examines credit markets from the borrowers' perspective
Arthur J. Rolnick, David Fettig
August 2003 - Community Dividend
The Economics of Labor Adjustment: Mind the Gap
Jonathan L. Willis, Russell Cooper
July 2003 - Staff Report
Why Are Married Women Working So Much?
Ellen R. McGrattan, Larry E. Jones, Rodolfo E. Manuelli
June 2003 - Staff Report
Competitive Pressure and Labor Productivity: World Iron Ore Markets in the 1980s
James A. Schmitz, Jr., Jose E. Galdon-Sanchez
April 2003 - Quarterly Review
Rural Census: Half full or half empty?
At first glance, the latest census paints a gloomy picture for much of the rural Ninth District. A closer look shows not all rural counties are doing poorly and suggests some reasons why
Ronald A. Wirtz
September 2002 - fedgazette
Size of Twin Cities Muslim population difficult to determine
When communities are based on faith, accurate demographic figures can be difficult to find.
Paula Woessner
August 2002 - Community Dividend
Updated Facts on the U.S. Distributions of Earnings, Income, and Wealth
Javier Díaz-Giménez, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Santiago Budría Rodríguez, Vincenzo Quadrini
July 2002 - Quarterly Review
Specialization and the Skill Premium in the 20th Century
Matthew F. Mitchell
July 2001 - Staff Report
Competition at Work: Railroads vs. Monopoly in the U.S. Shipping Industry
James A. Schmitz, Jr., Thomas J. Holmes
April 2001 - Quarterly Review
Knowledge Diffusion through Employee Mobility
April Franco, Darren Filson
July 2000 - Staff Report
Meeting A New Century of Challenges In Rural America
An overview of the challenges facing rural America, with suggestions about the proper response of public policy.
Mark Drabenstott
December 1999 - The Region
The Great Depression in the United States From A Neoclassical Perspective
Lee E. Ohanian, Harold L. Cole
December 1999 - Quarterly Review
The facts about the Twin Cities
Is the Twin Cities metropolitan area exceptional? A new publication from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis address that question and others.
Cindy Porter
March 1999 - Community Dividend
Changes in Hours Worked Since 1950
Ellen R. McGrattan, Richard Rogerson
December 1998 - Quarterly Review
We, the First Americans shows statistics regarding indigenous U.S. citizens
Census statistics offer a picture of how economic life for American Indians on reservations compares with that of the rest of the U.S. population.
July 1998 - Community Dividend
Capital-Skill Complementarity and Inequality: A Macroeconomic Analysis
Lee E. Ohanian, Giovanni L. Violante, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Per Krusell
September 1997 - Staff Report
Marital Risk and Capital Accumulation
José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Luis Cubeddu
July 1997 - Staff Report
An Empirical Analysis of Income Dynamics Among Men in the PSID: 1968–1989
John F. Geweke, Michael P. Keane
June 1997 - Staff Report
Can the Mortensen-Pissarides Matching Model Match the Business Cycle Facts?
Harold L. Cole, Richard Rogerson
December 1996 - Staff Report
Pattern Bargaining
Antonio Merlo, Robert Marshall
November 1996 - Staff Report
Valuation Equilibria With Clubs
Edward C. Prescott, Harold L. Cole
March 1996 - Staff Report
Industry Evolution and Transition: Measuring Investment in Organization Capital
Patrick J. Kehoe, Andrew Atkeson
November 1995 - Staff Report
Social Insurance and Transition
Patrick J. Kehoe, Andrew Atkeson
November 1995 - Staff Report
A New Idea for Welfare Reform
Michael P. Keane
April 1995 - Quarterly Review
Estimating Substitution Elasticities in Household Production Models
Peter Rupert, Randall Wright, Richard Rogerson
December 1994 - Staff Report
The Labor Market Implications of Unemployment Insurance and Short-Time Compensation
Randall Wright
July 1991 - Quarterly Review
A Note on Labor Contracts With Private Information and Household Production
Ed Nosal, Randall Wright, Richard Rogerson
January 1991 - Staff Report
Bad News From a Forecasting Model of the U.S. Economy
David E. Runkle
September 1990 - Quarterly Review
The U.S. Economy in 1989 and 1990: Walking a Fine Line
David E. Runkle, Preston J. Miller
December 1989 - Quarterly Review
A Simple Way to Estimate Current-Quarter GNP
Preston J. Miller, Terry J. Fitzgerald
September 1989 - Quarterly Review
P*: Not the Inflation Forecaster's Holy Grail
Lawrence J. Christiano
September 1989 - Quarterly Review
The U.S. Economy in 1990 and 1991: Continued Expansion Likely
David E. Runkle
September 1989 - Quarterly Review
Are Economic Forecasts Rational?
David E. Runkle, Michael P. Keane
April 1989 - Quarterly Review
Labor Contracts in a Model of Imperfect Competition
V. V. Chari, Larry E. Jones, Rodolfo E. Manuelli
January 1989 - Staff Report
Why No Crunch From the Crash?
David E. Runkle
December 1988 - Quarterly Review
Forecasting and Modeling the U.S. Economy in 1986-88
Richard M. Todd, William Roberds
December 1987 - Quarterly Review
The Quantitative Significance of the Lucas Critique
Preston J. Miller, William Roberds
December 1987 - Staff Report
Monetary Targeting in a Dynamic Macro Model
William Roberds
July 1987 - Staff Report
Solution of Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian Dynamic Games Using Variational Methods
William Roberds
July 1986 - Staff Report
How Monetary Policy in 1985 Affects the Outlook
Robert B. Litterman
September 1985 - Quarterly Review
Above-Average National Growth in 1985 and 1986
Robert B. Litterman
September 1984 - Quarterly Review
Forecasting and Policy Analysis With Bayesian Vector Autoregression Models
Robert B. Litterman
September 1984 - Quarterly Review
Improving Economic Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregression
Richard M. Todd
September 1984 - Quarterly Review
More Growth Ahead for Ninth District States
Hossain Amirizadeh, Richard M. Todd
September 1984 - Quarterly Review
Probable Future Competition in Banking Antitrust Determination: Research Findings
Michael J. Stutzer
July 1984 - Quarterly Review
The U.S. Economy in 1980: Shockwaves From 1979
Preston J. Miller, Thomas H. Turner, Thomas M. Supel
December 1980 - Quarterly Review
Supply-Side Tax Cuts: Will They Reduce Inflation?
Thomas M. Supel
September 1980 - Quarterly Review
Last Fall's Policy Changes: A Sound Program for Reducing Inflation
Thomas M. Supel
December 1979 - Quarterly Review
The Regional Economy in 1977 and 1978
David S. Dahl
December 1978 - Quarterly Review
The U.S. Economy in 1977 and 1978
Thomas M. Supel
December 1978 - Quarterly Review
TIP: The Wrong Way to Fight Inflation
Preston J. Miller
April 1978 - Quarterly Review
The Right Way to Price Federal Reserve Services
Preston J. Miller
July 1977 - Quarterly Review
