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Doves for the Rich, Hawks for the Poor? Distributional Consequences of Systematic Monetary Policy

Institute Working Paper 50 | Published June 29, 2021

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Authors

Nils Gornemann Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Keith Kuester University of Bonn
Makoto Nakajima Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Doves for the Rich, Hawks for the Poor? Distributional Consequences of Systematic Monetary Policy

Abstract

We build a New Keynesian business-cycle model with rich household heterogeneity. In the model, systematic monetary stabilization policy affects the distribution of income, income risks, and the demand for funds and supply of assets: the demand, because matching frictions render idiosyncratic labor-market risk endogenous; the supply, because markups, adjustment costs, and the tax system mean that the average profitability of firms is endogenous. Disagreement about systematic monetary stabilization policy is pronounced. The wealth-rich or retired tend to favor inflation targeting. The wealth-poor working class, instead, favors unemployment-centric policy. One- and two-agent alternatives can show unanimous disapproval of inflation-centric policy, instead. We highlight how the political support for inflation-centric policy depends on wage setting, the tax system, and the portfolio that households have.