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Overturning Mundell: Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union

Staff Report 311 | Published September 1, 2002

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Overturning Mundell: Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union

Abstract

Central to ongoing debates over the desirability of monetary unions is a supposed trade-off, outlined by Mundell [1961]: a monetary union reduces transactions costs but renders stabilization policy less effective. If shocks across countries are sufficiently correlated, then, according to this argument, delegating monetary policy to a single central bank is not very costly and a monetary union is desirable. This paper explores this argument in a setting with both monetary and fiscal policies. In an economy with monetary policy alone, we confirm the presence of the trade-off and find that indeed a monetary union will not be welfare improving if the correlation of national shocks is too low. However, fiscal interventions by national governments, combined with a central bank that has the ability to commit to monetary policy, overturn these results. In equilibrium, such a monetary union will be welfare improving for any correlation of shocks.




Published in: _Review of Economic Studies_ (Vol. 71, No. 2, April 2004, pp. 371-396) https://doi.org/10.1111/0034-6527.00288.